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Mesoscale Discussion 164
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0164
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0204 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL...SW GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 272004Z - 272100Z
   
   AN ADDITIONAL WW EAST OF TORNADO WW 38 IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED
   ...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
   
   MID/UPPER FORCING FOR ENHANCED CLUSTER OF STORMS...INCLUDING
   ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...NOW NEAR THE MONTGOMERY AL AREA...IS UNCLEAR. 
   BUT...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
   ...ASSOCIATED WITH A DECAYING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER CENTRAL
   ALABAMA AND GEORGIA...COULD CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TO
   SUPPORT THE PROGRESSION OF VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SOUTHEAST OF
   TORNADO WATCH 38.  THIS WILL BE AIDED BY MOMENTUM ASSOCIATED WITH
   30-40 KT WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW.  HOWEVER...IT CURRENTLY
   SEEMS MOST PROBABLE THAT WEAK DESTABILIZATION IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE
   OF THE SLOWLY RETREATING WESTERN ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE WILL TEND TO
   RESULT IN DIMINISHING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AS STORMS SPREAD ACROSS
   SOUTHEAST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.
   
   ..KERR.. 02/27/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
   
   LAT...LON   32488612 32828535 32408412 31818381 31538426 31538493
               31578603 31948682 32488612 
   
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