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Mesoscale Discussion 176
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0176
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0223 PM CDT WED APR 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 011923Z - 012200Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND BECOME
   CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG TO
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A
   POSSIBLE WW.

   DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE
   /1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE/ OVER CNTRL THROUGH NCNTRL TX EAST OF A
   WEAKLY CONVERGENT TROUGH AXIS THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NWRN TX
   INTO WRN PARTS OF SCNTRL TX. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF
   TOWERING CUMULUS DEVELOPING JUST EAST OF SAN ANGELO WITHIN ZONE OF
   DEEPER MIXING IN VICINITY OF THIS TROUGH. RUC ANALYSIS DATA ALSO
   INDICATE A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING TOWARD CNTRL TX. CURRENT
   INDICATION IS THAT STORMS WILL SOON INITIATE WITHIN THE AREA OF
   ENHANCED CUMULUS AND CONVERGENCE OVER CNTRL TX AND DEVELOP NEWD
   THROUGH NCTNRL TX. WIND PROFILES WITH 25-35 KT VERTICAL SHEAR ARE
   SUPPORTIVE OF MOSTLY MULTICELLS AND POSSIBLY SOME MARGINAL SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES.

   ..DIAL/HART.. 04/01/2015


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30959972 32269915 33819770 33929672 32739671 31229737
               30959972 

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