MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0183
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0718 AM CST SUN MAR 01 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...CSTL GA...ERN SC
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 44...
   
   VALID 011318Z - 011445Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 44 CONTINUES.
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH IN THE 14-15Z TIME FRAME.
   
   RAPID ATMOSPHERIC ADJUSTMENTS ARE UNDERWAY NOW THAT THE PV-ANOMALY
   HAS BEGUN A NEG-TILT TURN TO THE NE INTO GA.  RAPID LOW/MID-LVL
   FRONTOGENESIS WAS SHIFTING QUICKLY EWD...WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO
   MOVE BEYOND SC/GA/NERN FL CSTS IN THE 14-15Z TIME FRAME...WHILE
   SETTLING SWD THROUGH CNTRL FL.  THE SFC LOW WILL DEVELOP ENE ALONG A
   STNRY FRONT ACROSS KCHS...THEN NEWD JUST OFFSHORE SC/NC CST BY 18Z.
   
   NOSE OF THE 50-60 KT LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT FROM THE KSAV VCNTY
   INTO ERN SC THROUGH LATE MORNING...FOCUSING PRIMARY WARM ADVECTION
   ALONG/N OF THE E-W STNRY FRONT.  NUMEROUS TSTMS...MOSTLY
   ELEVATED...WILL CONTINUE OVER ERN SC FOR SVRL MORE HOURS...PSBLY
   PRODUCING HAIL.  THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR A DMGG WIND GUST OR
   A BRIEF TORNADO ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SC CST THROUGH 14-15Z.
   
   FARTHER S...A LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SWD TOWARD
   THE TAMPA AND MELBOURNE AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTN.  PRE-FRONTAL LLVL
   FLOW HAS DECIDEDLY VEERED OWING TO RAPID TRANSLATION OF STRONGER
   DCVA INTO GA/SC.  THUS...ASIDE FROM GUSTY WINDS...THE SVR THREAT
   APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AND/OR REMAIN LOW ACROSS CNTRL FL.
   
   ..RACY.. 03/01/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...JAX...
   
   LAT...LON   29238236 32638099 32777929 32487833 31547869 29298071
               29238236