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Mesoscale Discussion 194
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0194
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1144 PM CDT THU APR 02 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 18...

   VALID 030444Z - 030545Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 18
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE
   HAIL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AS A SMALL-SCALE BOW MOVES ESEWD ACROSS
   THE I-135 AND I-35 CORRIDORS.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT SINGLE SITE 88D IMAGERY SHOWS A BOW-SHAPED LINE
   SEGMENT MOVING ESEWD AROUND 60 KT.  KGBD MEASURED A 49 KT WIND GUST
   ACCOMPANYING THE BOW.  ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTIVE BAND IS ROOTED ABOVE
   A STABLE NEAR-SURFACE LAYER...THE DOWNDRAFT IS EVIDENTLY PUNCHING
   THROUGH THE STABLE LAYER AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN CAPABLE OF STRONG TO
   SEVERE WIND GUSTS.  STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND
   ADEQUATE ELEVATED BUOYANCY WILL AID IN STORM LONGEVITY.  SMALL TO
   MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE CONVECTIVE BAND AS IT
   GRADUALLY ENCROACHES ON A HIGHER THETA-E AIR MASS TO THE SE.

   ..SMITH.. 04/03/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37179641 37759831 38489845 38539803 38089597 37599547
               37239564 37179641 

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Page last modified: April 03, 2015
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