MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0205
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...FL PANHANDLE...SWRN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 230959Z - 231200Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...STORMS APPEAR TO BE STRENGTHENING AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE
   WIND GUST COULD OCCUR. HOWEVER...COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT
   A WATCH.
   
   DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SERN LA INTO
   SRN AL ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY...AND ORIENTED PARALLEL TO
   THE DEEP LAYER FLOW. A FEW STORMS IN THE LINE HAVE ACCELERATED IN AN
   EWD DIRECTION...SUPPORTED BY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AS NOTED ON
   AREA VWPS. 
   
   SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS RELATIVELY UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT
   WHERE DEWPOINTS HAVE RISEN INTO THE UPPER 60S F. CURRENT IR TOPS
   REMAIN COOL AND GIVEN A MORE FAVORABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THESE
   STORMS...SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR WITH ISOLATED SEVERE
   WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST CELL IS CURRENTLY OVER S-CNTRL
   AL...NEARLY COINCIDENT WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW WHICH MAY ALLOW THIS
   SYSTEM TO PERSIST.
   
   ..JEWELL/EDWARDS.. 02/23/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...
   
   LAT...LON   30128884 30588804 31318717 31718666 32038613 31988444
               31858398 31578390 30968416 30058577 30328648 30248717
               30128884