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Mesoscale Discussion 224
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0224
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1038 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/N FL

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 42...

   VALID 291538Z - 291715Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 42 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...DAMAGING WIND AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL RISKS APPEAR TO
   BE INCREASING WITH A QLCS INTENSIFYING ACROSS N FL INTO THE NERN
   GULF. A SWATH OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO ARE
   POSSIBLE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

   DISCUSSION...QLCS FROM NEAR JACKSONVILLE TO OCALA AND INTO THE NERN
   GULF HAS INTENSIFIED IN RADAR REFLECTIVITY/VELOCITY STRUCTURES
   DURING THE PAST HALF HOUR...WITH A 42 KT WIND GUST MEASURED AT
   GAINESVILLE. MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THE LINE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
   EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENT IS MOVING ONSHORE OVER CITRUS/HERNANDO
   COUNTIES. LOW/MID-LEVEL WIND PROFILES PER TBW VWP DATA SHOULD REMAIN
   CONDUCIVE TO BOWS CAPABLE OF SWATHS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY
   SEVERE HAIL. THIS RISK MAY BE ENHANCED FROM THE TAMPA BAY TO
   MELBOURNE AREAS WHERE GREATER INSOLATION HAS OCCURRED TO THE E/S OF
   THE CIRRUS CANOPY AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY WARMED TO
   NEAR 80.

   ..GRAMS.. 03/29/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   27548109 27268237 27618293 28498299 29178239 29908195
               30308185 30508172 30468153 30088127 28888073 28308065
               27548109 

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Page last modified: March 29, 2014
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