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Mesoscale Discussion 228
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0228
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL LA INTO SRN MS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 46...

   VALID 172048Z - 172215Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 46
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY CONTINUE AT
   LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS...BEFORE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH.

   DISCUSSION...RATHER MODEST SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW AND GENERALLY WEAK
   FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT APPEAR TO MINIMIZE THE POTENTIAL FOR
   ANY SUBSTANTIVE FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. 
   WITH THE CORRIDOR OF WEAKLY CAPPED PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER AIR
   NARROWING...THUNDERSTORM INTENSITIES MAY BEGIN WEAKENING BY THE
   23-00Z TIME FRAME.  HOWEVER...UNTIL THEN...THE RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL
   AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS PROBABLY WILL CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY
   STRONGEST STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHERN
   MISSISSIPPI...ROUGHLY BETWEEN INTERSTATES 10 AND 20.

   ..KERR.. 03/17/2016


   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31749366 32119207 32209152 32349075 32038949 31738842
               30738857 30538962 30729230 30959371 31369418 31749366 

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Page last modified: March 17, 2016
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