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Mesoscale Discussion 243
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0853 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 48...

   VALID 190153Z - 190300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 48
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...HAIL REMAINS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORM
   CLUSTERS OVER SCNTRL TX.  NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED ACROSS
   SCNTRL TX.

   DISCUSSION...GRADUALLY EXPANDING COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES ITS SWD
   PROPAGATION ACROSS WW48.  ERN-MOST PORTION OF THE LINE IS SURGING
   SOUTH AT ROUGHLY 25KT AND LEADING EDGE WILL EXIT THE WATCH SHORTLY
   AFTER 02Z.  WRN SEGMENT OF SQUALL LINE IS SAGGING SOUTH AT ROUGHLY
   15KT AND WILL MERGE WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE
   DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY ALONG OUTFLOW THAT HAS SURGED
   ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE FROM MEXICAN CONVECTION.  STEEP LAPSE RATES
   AND MODEST BUOYANCY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT HAIL GENERATION AND LATEST
   MRMS DATA EXHIBITS NUMEROUS HAIL CORES...AT TIMES SEVERE...WITH THE
   MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS.  WHILE THE LARGER COMPLEX OF STORMS WILL SOON
   PROPAGATE/FOCUS SOUTH OF THE WATCH...NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY
   ANTICIPATED.

   ..DARROW.. 03/19/2016


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   29700095 31399750 29649665 27960013 29700095 

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Page last modified: March 19, 2016
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