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Mesoscale Discussion 245
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0245
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0942 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTH TX...CNTRL/SWRN OK

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 45...

   VALID 020242Z - 020415Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 45
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE SVR POTENTIAL IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO SRN
   PARTS OF WW 45 -- YOUNG COUNTY EWD TO WISE COUNTY AND NRN PARTS OF
   PALO PINTO AND PARKER COUNTIES.

   DISCUSSION...A PAIR OF ONGOING SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TRACKING EWD
   ACROSS FAR SRN PARTS OF THE MCD AREA IN N-CNTRL TX WITH A SVR HAIL
   RISK. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROCESS A NOCTURNALLY STABILIZING BOUNDARY
   LAYER...BECOMING ELEVATED AND LIKELY WEAKENING AS THEY APPROACH THE
   DFW METROPLEX IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ELSEWHERE...UPPER AIR
   ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE STRONGER ELEVATED ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL
   BE FOCUSED WELL N OF STRONGER BUOYANCY SAMPLED BY 00Z RAOBS -- MORE
   LIKELY INTO PARTS OF KS. AS SUCH...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FEATURING
   A SVR RISK ELSEWHERE ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WW 45
   APPEARS UNLIKELY.

   ..COHEN.. 04/02/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

   LAT...LON   33689947 34729893 35299810 35199685 34839651 33629703
               32649765 32679865 33689947 

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Page last modified: April 02, 2014
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