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Mesoscale Discussion 248
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0248
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0251 PM CDT SAT MAR 19 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN FL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 50...

   VALID 191951Z - 192145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 50
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR
   WATERSPOUT CONTINUES FOR THE REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF THE WATCH
   AREA...INCLUDING THE RECENT LOCAL EXTENSION SOUTH TO INCLUDE BROWARD
   COUNTY.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE IN PROGRESS AT 1945Z
   ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA IN THE VICINITY OF A CONFLUENT AXIS
   BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY. AN
   EARLIER STORM OVER NORTHEAST PALM BEACH COUNTY PRODUCED DAMAGING
   GUSTS...AND A STORM JUST OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY
   COAST PRODUCED A BRIEF WATERSPOUT. ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN AN UNCAPPED AND
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE PRESENCE OF 50-55 KTS OF
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR
   WATERSPOUT REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS INTERACT WITH A
   PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

   FARTHER WEST...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THUS FAR NOT INTENSIFIED ACROSS
   SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS THE EARLIER CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO MOVE
   EAST. THE ENVIRONMENT IN ADVANCE OF THESE STORMS REMAINS FAVORABLE
   FOR AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT FROM HENDRY/COLLIER COUNTIES
   EASTWARD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

   ..BUNTING.. 03/19/2016


   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   27618089 27818035 27758005 27167978 26527982 26258004
               25688021 25548032 25528074 25738101 25918146 25998176
               26208195 27178129 27618089 

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Page last modified: March 19, 2016
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