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Mesoscale Discussion 252
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0252
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1200 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN/NERN KS AND WRN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 47...48...

   VALID 030500Z - 030630Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   47...48...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...LOCAL TEMPORAL EXTENSION FOR WW 47 MAY BE NEEDED BY
   06Z...GIVEN A FEW OF THE ONGOING STRONGER STORMS IN THIS WATCH MAY
   NOT EXIT OR DIMINISH IN INTENSITY BY 06Z.  OTHERWISE...STRONG TO
   SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND POSE A THREAT ACROSS WW
   48.

   DISCUSSION...AT 04Z...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
   FROM THE NWRN OK BORDER WITH KS THROUGH SERN KS /NORTH OF KCNU/ AND
   THEN EWD INTO WEST CENTRAL MO /NEAR THE VERNON/BATES COUNTIES
   LINE/...AND TO FAR SRN IL.  INCREASING LOW LEVEL WAA ACROSS WW/S 47
   AND 48 INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
   CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...WITH
   ACTIVITY MAINLY LOCATED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...WHILE
   THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX SHIFTS EWD INTO MO.

   ..PETERS.. 04/03/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37629651 37949719 38619770 39279778 39619722 39619563
               39529444 39689276 39329251 38779253 38419266 37519227
               37299381 37359516 37439624 37629651 

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Page last modified: April 03, 2014
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