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Mesoscale Discussion 265
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0265
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/W-CNTRL MO...NERN OK...NWRN AR

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 49...51...

   VALID 032048Z - 032145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 49...51...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SVR THREAT PERSISTS WITH A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS
   DEVELOPING ALONG A COLD FRONT/DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM WRN MO INTO
   NERN OK. ENHANCED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL ACCOMPANY DISCRETE TSTMS
   THAT CAN EVOLVE WITHIN THIS LINE.

   DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF TSTMS POSITIONED ALONG FRONTAL SEGMENT
   ACROSS WRN MO INTO NERN OK INCLUDES EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...THE
   STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE LOCATED OVER ST. CLAIR/VERNON AND JASPER
   COUNTIES MO AS OF 2040Z. TSTMS HAVE GENERALLY REMAINED CONFINED TO
   ALONG THE FRONT THUS FAR GIVEN THE RELATIVELY VEERED/FRONT-PARALLEL
   NATURE OF THE VERTICAL WIND PROFILE. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL STILL
   EXISTS FOR A FEW DOMINANT DISCRETE SUPERCELLS TO EVOLVE FROM WITHIN
   THIS LINE AND EXHIBIT AN ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES. VWP DATA FROM
   SGF CONTINUES TO INDICATE FAVORABLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH IS
   POSITIONED ACROSS SWRN MO AND NWRN AR. THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL
   AND DMGG WINDS REMAINS HIGH AS WELL.

   ..ROGERS.. 04/03/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   38119214 36089340 34789473 34949591 35299601 36209561
               37349454 38459392 38799339 38699259 38119214 

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Page last modified: April 03, 2014
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