MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0266
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0139 AM CST MON FEB 18 2008
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN FL PANHANDLE INTO NWRN FL AND SRN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 
   
   VALID 180739Z - 180815Z
   
   NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS ERN FL PANHANDLE INTO
   PART OF NRN FL AND SRN GA.
   
   REGIONAL RADARS/LIGHTNING DATA SHOWED A BAND OF TSTMS EXTENDING FROM
   SRN GA SWWD THROUGH THE ERN FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE NERN GULF OF
   MEXICO.  40-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...0-1 KM SHEAR OF 35-40 KT
   AND 0-3 KM SRH AOA 250 M2/S2 CONTINUE TO SUPPORT EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW
   FORMATIONS WITH ATTENDANT THREATS FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. 
   SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST SOME DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR EWD INTO
   SOUTH CENTRAL GA AND NWRN FL...JUST E OF CURRENT INSTABILITY AXIS
   WHICH EXTENDED FROM THE GULF INTO ERN FL PANHANDLE AND FAR SWRN GA. 
   THIS IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN TSTMS AS THEY MOVE EWD OVERNIGHT.
   
   ..PETERS.. 02/18/2008
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
   
   29508553 30648469 31748366 32238250 32158171 30578226
   29678273 28958321 28688368 28838518