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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN COLORADO PLAINS AND ERN SLOPES OF FOOTHILLS
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 261255Z - 261600Z
SNOWFALL INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NERN
COLORADO PLAINS AND ERN SLOPES OF FOOTHILLS. SNOWFALL RATES
EXCEEDING 1 INCH/HR ARE PROBABLE BEGINNING IN THE 16-19Z PERIOD.
MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MID LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM
ACROSS SWRN WY WITH INCREASING ASCENT IMPLIED BY MOISTENING/COOLING
CLOUD TOPS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS NRN COLORADO. SURFACE
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT DRAPED W-E FROM SRN WY
INTO PLATTE RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE IS BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE
SWD AND WILL BE INVOF SERN COLORADO BY 19Z. BEHIND THIS
FEATURE...STRONG N-NELY/S WILL DEVELOP...ENHANCING UPSLOPE FLOW
COMPONENT.
12Z DNR RAOB EXHIBITED NEARLY SATURATED COLUMN UP THROUGH 500 MB.
ENHANCED UVV/S AND UPSLOPE FLOW WILL AUGMENT DEEP ASCENT THROUGH THE
COLUMN YIELDING INCREASING SNOWFALL RATES NEARING 1 INCH/HR. LATEST
RUNS OF 4KM HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND SREF OUTPUT INDICATE SNOWFALL
RATES WILL INTENSIFY SUBSTANTIALLY IN THE 16-19Z PERIOD...BEGINNING
FIRST NEAR DNR / FCL AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. CONDITIONS WILL
PROGRESSIVELY DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE 19-22Z PERIOD AS
STRONGER WINDS /GUSTS AOA 40 MPH/ AND MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES /1
TO 2 INCH/HR RATES/ REDUCE VISIBILITIES CREATING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS.
..SMITH.. 03/26/2009
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38830538 39440543 40540540 40820530 40800399 40380315
39980277 39410276 38920364 38590498 38830538
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