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Mesoscale Discussion 272
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0272
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0701 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN VT...SOUTHWEST THROUGH DOWNEAST MAINE

   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

   VALID 251201Z - 251600Z

   SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN...MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET...WILL SPREAD
   EAST THROUGH MID MORNING. RATES EXCEEDING 0.05 INCHES/3 HOURS CAN BE
   EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR COMPOSITE IMAGERY AT 1140Z DEPICTS AN
   AREA OF PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING
   RAIN...EXPANDING EAST OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN VERMONT AND
   SOUTHWESTERN MAINE. STRONG WARM ADVECTION AT 850 MB CONTINUES TO
   PROVIDE THE LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT FOR THIS
   PRECIPITATION...AND RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS THROUGH MID MORNING
   REFLECT AN INCREASING WARM NOSE DEPTH SUPPORTIVE OF FREEZING RAIN
   MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET. RATES IN EXCESS OF 0.05 INCHES/3 HOURS
   CAN BE EXPECTED AS THIS AREA OF MIXED PRECIPITATION EXPANDS EAST
   THROUGH 15Z. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT HI-RES MODEL AND
   03Z SREF GUIDANCE.

   ..BUNTING.. 03/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

   LAT...LON   43827098 43957140 45037119 45277083 45677004 45856956
               45856857 45846781 45656779 45566743 45286746 45226750
               45146769 45066785 43827098 

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Page last modified: March 25, 2016
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