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Mesoscale Discussion 273
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0273
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 PM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN FL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 251852Z - 252115Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
   PORTIONS OF SERN AND E CNTRL FL LATER TODAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
   LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...AN E-W BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXISTS ACROSS SRN FL AND IS
   GRADUALLY LIFTING/MIXING NWD WITH AN INFLUX OF NEAR 70 F DEWPOINTS.
   MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 80S WHICH SHOULD
   ALLOW FOR PARCELS TO EASILY REACH THE LFC GIVEN SUFFICIENT LIFT.

   DEEPER CONVECTION IS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG THE E COAST SEA BREEZE
   AND INTERSECTION OF THE MAIN FRONT. WITH TIME...A FEW RELATIVELY
   HIGH-TOPPED STORMS WILL DEVELOP...SUPPORTED BY FAVORABLE LAPSE RATES
   ALOFT AND MODEST MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. WEAK WINDS IN THE
   LOW-LEVELS SUGGEST PERHAPS SPLITTING CELLS...AND HAIL WILL BE A
   DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. COLD DOWNDRAFTS MAY ALSO YIELD LOCALIZED WIND
   DAMAGE. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO SPARSE
   FOR A WATCH.

   ..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 03/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   25937994 25698008 25638041 25818058 26428080 27378101
               28038109 28498085 28528048 27578016 26957988 26697987
               25937994 

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Page last modified: March 25, 2016
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