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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0305
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0821 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE LA...SRN MS...FAR SRN AL...FAR WRN FL
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 280121Z - 280245Z
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS FAR SE LA...SRN
MS...FAR SRN AL AND THE FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. HAIL AND
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE AS AN MCS MOVES INTO THE AREA
FROM THE WEST. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND INSTABILITY START TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE MCD AREA.
LATEST RUC DATA SHOWS A BROAD ZONE OF INCREASED LOW-LEVEL FLOW
EXTENDING EWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS OF LA...MS...AL AND WRN FL
PANHANDLE. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THIS AREA OF
ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR THE MS RIVER AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE EWD
INTO THE MCD AREA FROM THE WEST OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR IS ALREADY IN PLACE WHICH COMBINED WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN
INTENSITY OF THE STORMS CURRENTLY IN SRN MS. HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A
SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA.
..BROYLES.. 03/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30198746 30028849 29778930 29778996 30439034 31059005
31558896 31348707 30958628 30428637 30198746
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