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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0309
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN AL...FAR SRN MS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 84...
VALID 280451Z - 280615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 84 CONTINUES.
A LARGE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE WRN AND
CNTRL PARTS OF WW 84 WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A SEVERE THREAT OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. THE TORNADO AND WIND DAMAGE THREATS MAY INCREASE
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SW AL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE LATEST RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL JET RAPIDLY INCREASING
ACROSS SCNTRL AND CNTRL MS. THIS FEATURE WILL DRIFT EWD INTO SW AL
DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD STRENGTHENING WARM
ADVECTION...INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS MUCH OF WW 84. IN
RESPONSE...THE TORNADO AND WIND DAMAGE THREATS SHOULD INCREASE AS
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH AND MOVE
INTO THE WRN EDGE OF THE WATCH. WIND DAMAGE WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH
BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS ESPECIALLY IF A SQUALL-LINE CAN ORGANIZE AND
MOVE INTO THE WATCH AS IS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL MODEL FORECASTS. THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD ALSO INCREASE EWD INTO PARTS OF SCNTRL AL AND
THE WRN FL PANHANDLE LATE IN THE WATCH VALID PERIOD.
..BROYLES.. 03/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 28698898 28848931 29148926 29258905 29428957 29848937
30008963 30258973 30618959 30668934 30918930 30938909
31418911 31448894 31818891 31898846 32988839 33008822
33178785 33038783 33008739 32888742 32868702 32658697
32648664 32728644 32818641 32758590 32478588 32468596
32408604 32278596 32058600 31978618 31808621 31788610
31028619 31018636 30528637 30528617 30418611 30418628
30388644 30078644 29898795 29868849 29608857 29398875
29148867 28918874 28698898
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