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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA/CENTRAL AND SRN MS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 83...
VALID 280647Z - 280700Z
CORRECTED FOR WATCH NUMBER TYPO IN TEXT OF MCD
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 83 CONTINUES.
WW 83 WILL NEED TO BE EITHER EXTENDED IN TIME BEYOND THE SCHEDULED
07Z EXPIRATION OR A NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED TO REPLACE WW 83.
TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADARS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INDICATED
ACTIVITY FROM SERN LA INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL MS ARE EVOLVING INTO A
MORE LINEAR TYPE SYSTEM. THIS SCENARIO IS EXPECTED AS MID-UPPER
LEVEL FLOW/EFFECTIVE SHEAR VECTORS BACK ACROSS THIS REGION WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE SRN PLAINS CLOSED LOW. A CONTINUED INFLUX OF GULF
MOISTURE NWD ALONG SLY LLJ WITHIN WARM SECTOR WILL MAINTAIN AN
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS. LOW LEVEL
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG...GIVEN BACKED SELY SURFACE WINDS
BENEATH SLY LLJ.
..PETERS.. 03/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
LAT...LON 29279211 31629064 33028977 32918824 30018975 29259003
28919052 29279211
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