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Mesoscale Discussion 317
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0317
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0741 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...NRN/WRN GA...SERN TN

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 72...

   VALID 010041Z - 010215Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 72 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...WITH PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS APPROACHING THE EDGE OF WW 72
   ALONG THE TN/AL BORDER AREA...A DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY
   PRIOR TO 02Z.

   DISCUSSION...00Z BMX RAOB SAMPLED AN ADEQUATE TORNADIC SUPERCELL
   ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG...0-1 SRH AROUND 200 M2/S2
   AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 50 KT. THE 65 DEG F ISODROSOTHERM IS
   ROUGHLY FROM NEAR HSV TO GAD AS OF 00Z. CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL WAA
   SHOULD RESULT IN SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY BEING MAINTAINED INTO AT
   LEAST PARTS OF NRN GA. AS SUCH...ALL HAZARDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT
   THE PREDOMINANT THREAT MAY BECOME DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN LIKELY
   CLUSTER/MCS MODE AND INCREASINGLY ELEVATED NATURE OF CONVECTION WITH
   NRN EXTENT.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 04/01/2016


   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   35028655 35438605 35448498 35148438 34868390 34458353
               32698406 32348466 32288561 32798595 33938606 34378645
               35028655 

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