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Mesoscale Discussion 320
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0320
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0616 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...A SMALL PORTION OF THE E-CNTRL FL PENINSULA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 162316Z - 170015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A LOCALIZED DMGG-WIND RISK WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE E-CNTRL FL PENINSULA TO THE ATLANTIC COAST IN THE SHORT-TERM.

   DISCUSSION...CLUSTERED CONVECTION HAS OCCASIONALLY EXHIBITED MODEST
   STORM-SCALE CIRCULATIONS OVER PARTS OF E-CNTRL FL...PARTICULARLY
   OVER INDIAN RIVER COUNTY. THE MLB VWP SAMPLES A VERTICALLY VEERING
   WIND PROFILE...THOUGH WITH ONLY MODEST BACKGROUND FLOW IN THE
   LOW/MID LEVELS. THIS MAY MAINTAIN ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE COAST
   THAT WILL ENCOUNTER AROUND 1500 J/KG OF MLCAPE ASSOCIATED WITH
   FAVORABLY MOIST LOW LEVELS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH SUCH ACTIVITY WILL
   BE LOCALLY DMGG WIND GUSTS. NOCTURNAL COOLING SHOULD BEGIN TO LIMIT
   STORM INTENSITY IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

   ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 04/16/2015


   ATTN...WFO...MLB...

   LAT...LON   27448102 27668084 27788051 27448029 27308070 27448102 

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