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Mesoscale Discussion 321
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0321
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1231 AM CDT FRI APR 01 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...UPSTATE SC / CNTRL SC / E-CNTRL AND CNTRL GA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 010531Z - 010700Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A WATCH.  ISOLD DMGG WIND
   WOULD LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH A LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY AT 0530Z SHOWS A MCV OVER FAR NRN GA WITH
   A BROKEN BOWING CONVECTIVE LINE FROM EXTREME NERN GA ARCING SWD
   TOWARDS AHN AND SWWD TO NEAR MCN.  THE LOW CAPE/STRONG SHEAR SHEAR
   REGIME DENOTED BY OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS WILL LIKELY FAVOR STORM
   ORGANIZATION.  SOME STRONGER STORMS MAY MANIFEST AN ISOLD
   WIND-DAMAGE RISK WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE LINE AS IT MOVES EWD BUT THIS
   THREAT WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIMITED GIVEN WEAK LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES.  GIVEN THE WEAK BUOYANCY REGIME...IT REMAINS UNLIKELY
   SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL EVOLVE BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED IF
   THIS SCENARIO WERE TO UNFOLD.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 04/01/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

   LAT...LON   32348371 33948273 34538313 34978238 34928137 34478080
               33678115 32358232 32128313 32348371 

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