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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0329
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 PM CDT SUN MAR 24 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SE OHIO...NRN WV...SW PA...FAR NW VA...WRN MD
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 250435Z - 250930Z
SUMMARY...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY INTO NW VA/WRN MD PANHANDLE. RATES
UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW CURRENTLY SITUATED FROM WRN OHIO
INTO PORTIONS OF NRN AND CNTRL WV WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT E/NE
OVERNIGHT AS MIDLEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. DEEP LAYER ASCENT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH COINCIDING WITH
FAVORABLE DEFORMATION ZONE/MODEST FRONTOGENESIS WILL HELP TO
MAINTAIN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER
OHIO VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/SHENANDOAH VALLEY REGION. PW VALUES
HAVE DECREASED SOMEWHAT FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY TO AROUND A HALF
INCH. ADDITIONALLY...LITTLE IF ANY IN THE WAY OF ELEVATED
INSTABILITY EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS SHOULD THEREFORE TEMPER
SNOWFALL RATES COMPARED TO THOSE SEEN FURTHER WEST EARLIER TODAY AND
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE MIDWEST...BUT GIVEN THE DYNAMIC SYSTEM AND
MORE THAN ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THROUGH DENDRITIC GROWTH
ZONE...SNOWFALL RATES APPROACHING ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES SEEMS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
MOST TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE AT OR BELOW FREEZING.
HOWEVER...A FEW LOCATIONS STILL REMAIN AROUND 33-35 DEGREES. WITH
THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION...WET BULB AND EVAPORATIVE PROCESSES IN
LOW LEVELS SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE ANY RAIN OR MIXED PHASE
PRECIPITATION TO ALL SNOW.
..LEITMAN.. 03/25/2013
ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 39978185 40238175 40528128 40768017 40807967 40727901
40357835 39887793 39577787 39027791 38667825 38277889
38197937 38738023 39568146 39978185
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