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Mesoscale Discussion 331
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0331
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1039 PM CDT FRI APR 01 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PANHANDLE/NRN FL

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 76...

   VALID 020339Z - 020445Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 76 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO MAY
   INCREASE INTO THE EARLY MORNING WITH A QLCS MOVING E FROM THE ERN
   PANHANDLE.

   DISCUSSION...A QLCS EXTENDED FROM GRADY COUNTY GA TO GULF COUNTY FL
   AS OF 0330Z. MEASURED GUSTS WITH THE LINE HAVE GENERALLY BEEN IN THE
   20-30 KT RANGE ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS.
   THIS LINE MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT ABOUT TO OVERTAKE THE REMNANT
   W/E-ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM FRANKLIN TO CLAY COUNTIES. WITH
   LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS PREVALENT S OF THE OUTFLOW...A
   COMPARATIVELY GREATER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATE COULD FOSTER INCREASED
   DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT. TLH/JAX VWP DATA SAMPLED VERY STRONG
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-6 KM VALUES AOA 70 KT...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT
   TRANSIENT MESOVORTICES IN SPITE OF LIMITED INSTABILITY.

   ..GRAMS.. 04/02/2016


   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30588425 30608366 30478260 30398206 30198184 30038182
               29928204 29818277 29708333 29628490 29698513 30588425 

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Page last modified: April 02, 2016
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