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Mesoscale Discussion 360
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0360
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1129 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL FL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 151629Z - 151900Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS WILL TRAVERSE THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA WITH ONLY
   ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. A WATCH IS UNLIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...A LEADING BAND OF STORMS ALONG A CONFLUENCE LINE
   CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS N CNTRL AND W CNTRL FL...WITH
   NEW CELLS BEGINNING TO FORM ACROSS CNTRL FL AHEAD OF THIS LINE.
   ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE WARM...STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES AND SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COULD LEAD TO
   FORWARD-PROPAGATING CELLS WITH STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL. WHILE
   SOME WEAK CYCLONIC SHEAR MAY BE SEEN AT TIMES...THERE SHOULD BE
   LITTLE APPRECIABLE TORNADO THREAT OWING TO WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL
   SHEAR.

   ..JEWELL/HART.. 04/15/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   28258051 28008059 27598137 27338186 27428263 27688277
               28318285 28858275 29758207 30168158 30208132 29078073
               28508048 28258051 

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Page last modified: April 15, 2014
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