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Mesoscale Discussion 361
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0361
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC AND SERN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 152100Z - 152300Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AS STORMS DEVELOP ALONG AN
   APPROACHING COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...A WATCH APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS
   TIME.

   DISCUSSION...SURFACE MAP SHOWS A LOW OVER NRN SC AHEAD OF THE
   APPROACHING UPPER VORT MAX WITH OUTFLOW-ENHANCED COLD FRONT
   EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS NC AND INTO SERN VA. THIS FRONT WAS SURGING
   SEWD QUICKLY AND WILL STABILIZE THE AIR MASS. THE FRONT CONTINUES
   SWD ACROSS CNTRL SC AND SERN GA...WHERE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS
   ATTEMPTING TO FORM.

   THE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY WEAK...AND MAY REMAIN SO DUE TO WEAK
   INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...PERSISTING STRONG SHEAR PROFILES COULD
   EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A STORM OR TWO WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS...AND
   SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS AT TIMES. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
   MONITORED FOR ANY UPTREND...BUT A WATCH APPEARS UNLIKELY FOR SUCH
   ISOLATED AND CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL.

   ..JEWELL/HART.. 04/15/2014


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   32877930 32338013 32368045 32658070 33138067 33698040
               34747986 35227950 36047830 36237746 36007656 35667622
               34657617 34487700 34157755 33777784 33717831 33587879
               33207907 32877930 

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Page last modified: April 15, 2014
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