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Mesoscale Discussion 379
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0379
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0910 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/S CNTRL TEXAS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85...

   VALID 220210Z - 220315Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...IN GENERAL...THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AND
   ANOTHER WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR NEEDED...BUT A LOCAL WATCH EXTENSION
   IN TIME FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

   DISCUSSION...COLD POOL CONSOLIDATION AND STRENGTHENING WAS
   APPARENTLY NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE ENOUGH LIFT TO OVERCOME
   INCREASING INHIBITION /WITH SURFACE COOLING/ FOR BOUNDARY LAYER
   PARCELS SOUTHEAST OF THE HILL COUNTRY.  EVEN WITH THE ONGOING
   CLUSTERING OF STORMS ACROSS THE JUNCTION/KERRVILLE AREAS...POTENTIAL
   FOR APPRECIABLE FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
   DOUBTFUL GIVEN THE LACK OF A MORE SUBSTANTIVE LOW-LEVEL JET.
   FREQUENT LIGHTNING PERSISTS IN STRONGER STORMS...PARTICULARLY WITH
   STORMS SLOWLY PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST OF THE DALLAS METRO AREA...BUT
   SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING...OR AT LEAST
   BECOMING TOO ISOLATED IN NATURE/SPARSE IN COVERAGE FOR ANOTHER
   SEVERE WEATHER WATCH.

   ..KERR.. 04/22/2014


   ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30980017 30879921 30949843 31399740 32339697 32649662
               32709572 32329540 32179644 29859733 29349860 30530069
               30980017 

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Page last modified: April 22, 2014
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