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Mesoscale Discussion 388
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0388
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0821 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN MO...WRN KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 200121Z - 200215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD ACROSS
   SERN MO INTO WRN KY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  DAMAGING WINDS AND
   LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

   DISCUSSION...LARGE SCALE FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL SPEED
   MAX...IS SPREADING ACROSS AR TOWARD THE WRN TN/LOWER OH VALLEY
   REGION.  CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS
   FEATURE AND A WEAK MCV MAY BE EVOLVING ALONG NRN EDGE OF TSTM
   COMPLEX APPROACHING THE BOOT HEEL OF MO.  LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND
   PERHAPS SOME HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY.  SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS CONVECTION
   SPREADING NORTH OF CURRENT WATCHES.

   ..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 04/20/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   36749008 37408868 37548714 36678703 36288976 36749008 

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