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Mesoscale Discussion 404
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0201 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN AND CNTRL TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 96...

   VALID 170701Z - 170800Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 96
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
   CENTRAL TX EAST OF THE PECOS. FURTHER NORTH INTO N-CNTRL TX...THE
   OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS DIMINISHING AND WW 96 COULD BE CANCELED
   EARLY.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN THE
   EASTWARD PROPAGATING LINE OF STORMS FROM NORTHERN INTO CENTRAL TX
   THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...INCREASING INHIBITION
   WITH EASTWARD EXTENT AND EVIDENCE OF OUTFLOW OUTPACING CONVECTION
   WILL LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE CONCERNS...THOUGH A FEW STRONG GUSTS MAY
   STILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT-TERM. AHEAD OF THE LINE...A FEW MORE
   ISOLATED CELLS CONTINUED TO THE WEST OF THE FWD METROPLEX. THESE
   CELLS HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES OR SO AND THIS TREND IS
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. GIVEN THE DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT...WW 96
   COULD BE CANCELLED BEFORE THE 12Z EXPIRATION TIME...ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA.

   ..LEITMAN.. 04/17/2016


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   33029910 33459901 33459738 32969751 30699903 30339969
               30270099 30460156 30970089 32019987 33029910 

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Page last modified: April 17, 2016
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