Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 417
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 417 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0417
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0115 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SW TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 191815Z - 192045Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE
   EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER SWRN TX.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG HEATING CONTINUES TO ERODE STRATUS ACROSS WRN TX
   WITH CU NOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS TEMPERATURES
   RISE INTO THE 70S F. ELY SFC WINDS WILL MAINTAIN MID TO UPPER 50S F
   DEWPOINTS RESULTING IN 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE WITH MODESTLY STEEP
   LAPSE RATES ALOFT. WLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
   LONG-LIVED AND POSSIBLY SPLITTING CELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH
   1.00 TO 1.75 IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS STORM
   COVERAGE MAY BE TOO LOW FOR A WATCH...BUT THE CONDITIONAL SEVERE
   HAIL THREAT GIVEN A STORM IS HIGH.

   ..JEWELL/HART.. 04/19/2016


   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30390294 32760293 32940211 32950094 31490085 30340079
               29530119 29760171 29850223 30390294 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: April 19, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities