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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0420
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0943 PM CDT THU APR 09 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO...MUCH OF AR...NRN LA...
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 125...126...
VALID 100243Z - 100445Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 125...126...CONTINUES.
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES AHEAD OF VIGOROUS BAND OF STORMS
MOVING RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS SRN MO/AR/NWRN LA.
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD WITHIN AN ARCING BAND
EXTENDING FROM S CENTRAL MO SWD INTO NWRN LA...AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS
MID-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CROSSING KS/OK. GREATEST INSTABILITY
PERSISTS FROM CENTRAL AR SWD INTO LA...WHERE GREATEST TORNADO
POTENTIAL SHOULD PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. FARTHER N INTO
NRN AR AND SRN MO...INSTABILITY DECREASES WITH NEWD EXTENT...WITH A
WARM FRONT RETREATING VERY SLOWLY NEWD ACROSS NERN AR/SRN MO.
DESPITE THE SLOW DECREASE IN INSTABILITY WITH EWD EXTENT...STRENGTH
OF THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM AND WELL-ORGANIZED NATURE OF
CONVECTION SUGGESTS THAT STORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
STORMS SHOULD IMPINGE UPON ERN FRINGES OF THE WATCHES WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR...AND APPROACH THE MID MS VALLEY REGION TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
WITH A THREAT FOR MAINLY HAIL AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY TO
PERSIST ACROSS SERN MO/NRN AR...AND THE ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN AR AND INTO NRN LA...A NEW WW
MAY BE REQUIRED E OF WW 125/126.
..GOSS.. 04/10/2009
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...
LAT...LON 37499244 37589163 37399019 37148947 35618991 33519122
32289133 32329477 33479399 36059275 37089284 37499244
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