MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0914 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST AR/FAR EAST TX TO NORTHERN/CENTRAL LA
   AND WESTERN MS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 92...
   
   VALID 110214Z - 110415Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 92 CONTINUES.
   
   SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH 92 CONTINUES ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
   AR/NORTHEAST LA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
   A TORNADO REMAINING POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED BASIS...MAINLY IN FAR
   NORTHERN/WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
   /THROUGH 04Z/. ADDITIONALLY...SOME SEVERE HAIL/PERHAPS A TSTM WIND
   GUST WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA THIS
   EVENING...BUT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.
   
   DISCUSSION...PRIMARY SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE SHORT TERM /THROUGH
   03Z-04Z/ WILL BE FROM FAR SOUTHEAST AR INTO NORTHWEST MS IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH A QLCS...IN FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH
   92. OTHERWISE...THE POTENTIAL FOR DISCRETE WARM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
   WILL LIKELY REMAIN LOW THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...GIVEN A
   SLIGHT/GRADUAL COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER THROUGH THE 70S F WITH
   A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN CINH.
   
   FARTHER SOUTHWEST...CONVECTION WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN FOCUSED
   ALONG/IMMEDIATELY BEHIND AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS
   EXTREME EASTERN TX AND LA. A PARTICULARLY ORGANIZED/CONSEQUENTIAL
   SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SOME HAIL/PERHAPS A WIND GUST
   MAY BE POSSIBLE GIVEN RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES/MODERATE ELEVATED INSTABILITY. SUCH DEVELOPMENT NEAR/JUST
   BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MAY BE ACCENTUATED LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE
   OVERNIGHT BY THE EVENTUAL APPROACH A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER
   TROUGH/JET STREAK CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO INTO TX.
   
   ..GUYER.. 04/11/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...
   
   LAT...LON   33149234 33859157 33669006 33149007 31519120 29699415
               32309355 33149234