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Mesoscale Discussion 441
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0441
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0721 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN/CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 102...

   VALID 250021Z - 250115Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 102 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND GUSTS...AND PERHAPS AN
   ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE GREATEST OVER N-CNTRL KS THROUGH 02Z. SVR
   THREAT OVER WRN PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 102 SHOULD CONTINUE TO
   DECREASE WITH CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND THE LOSS OF HEATING.

   DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS CNTRL/WRN
   KS...FEATURING A PERSISTENT SUPERCELL PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DMGG
   WIND GUSTS THAT REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG A WARM FRONT BETWEEN RUSSELL
   AND SALINA. SFC ANALYSIS FROM 00Z INDICATES MOIST AXIS IS ORIENTED
   NEAR/E OF I-35...WITH A SFC LOW POSITIONED APPROXIMATELY 20 SW
   RSL...WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MOST FAVORABLE FOR LARGE
   HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS. THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY
   PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HRS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AS WELL...BUT
   AN INCREASINGLY MESSY STORM MODE OWING TO NUMEROUS STORM
   INTERACTIONS MAY LIMIT THIS THREAT.

   ..ROGERS.. 04/25/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38259969 38300117 38790134 39220066 39959970 39919817
               39539719 38689675 37339715 37079777 37169860 37879930
               38259969 

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Page last modified: April 25, 2015
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