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Mesoscale Discussion 441
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0441
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0845 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST KS TO WESTERN IA

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 101...102...

   VALID 250145Z - 250245Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 101...102...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS ORIENTING ITSELF ALONG A CORRIDOR
   FROM NORTHEAST KS INTO NORTHWEST MO.  LARGE HAIL WILL BECOME THE
   MAIN RISK...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...EARLIER SUPERCELL ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVED ALONG THE
   DRYLINE ACROSS SRN NEBRASKA AND NRN KS HAS CONGEALED INTO A SW-NE
   ORIENTED BAND OF SEVERE CONVECTION OVER NERN KS.  AS LLJ INCREASES
   FROM NERN KS INTO SRN IA THIS DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE SHOULD
   PROPAGATE EWD TOWARD THE MO RIVER.  LATEST HAIL ALGORITHM SUGGESTS
   HAIL GREATER THAN ONE INCH IS COMMON FROM SALINE INTO POTTAWATOMIE
   COUNTY KS. AS CONVECTION SPREADS EAST OF THE MO RIVER WEAKER
   INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE THREAT.

   ..DARROW.. 04/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38619805 39629661 40369602 41999582 43179546 43229464
               41339453 39939461 39009504 38469623 38619805 

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Page last modified: April 25, 2016
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