Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 443
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 443 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0443
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 PM CDT MON APR 25 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/SOUTH TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 252047Z - 252215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
   CNTRL AND SOUTH TX...WITH A LOCALIZED ACCOMPANYING THREAT OF LARGE
   HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AS
   COVERAGE WILL LIKELY REMAIN VERY ISOLATED.

   DISCUSSION...AREAS OF BOUNDARY-LAYER BASED CU ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS
   PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY OVER CNTRL TX...AND ALONG A WEAK WIND
   SHIFT/THERMAL AXIS OVER SOUTH TX /JUST E OF I-35/. FORCING FOR
   ASCENT APPEARS TO BE RATHER WEAK...BUT VERY STRONG HEATING IS
   OCCURRING AS TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S F.
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE OUT OF THESE TWO AREAS DURING THE
   NEXT COUPLE HRS...AND THE STRONG BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING COMBINED
   WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND VERTICALLY VEERING FLOW WITH
   HEIGHT COULD SUPPORT A LOCALIZED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
   WIND GUSTS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
   THREAT...A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
   TO BE MONITORED.

   ..ROGERS/CORFIDI.. 04/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   31419845 28929822 27739831 27729902 28099916 28829922
               30039948 30659963 31179969 31599960 31599906 31419845 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: April 25, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities