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Mesoscale Discussion 444
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0444
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0350 PM CDT MON APR 25 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...SWRN NEB PANHANDLE...FAR NERN CO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 252050Z - 252245Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A MARGINAL THREAT FOR HAIL AND A LOCALIZED STRONG WIND
   GUST WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH
   PLAINS. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE AND WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW
   INCREASING CU DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN
   WY...WITHIN A BROAD ZONE OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
   AMPLIFYING GREAT BASIN TROUGH. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE
   SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MID-AFTERNOON...EVENTUALLY SPREADING ACROSS
   THE HIGH PLAINS...WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE HEATED INTO THE LOW-60S F.
   INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED BY MARGINAL BOUNDARY-LAYER
   MOISTURE...BUT COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES COMBINED WITH MODERATELY STRONG MID-UPPER SWLYS MAY ENCOURAGE
   ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL AND PERHAPS A STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO.

   ..ROGERS/CORFIDI.. 04/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   42070318 41390306 40980326 40800369 40690470 40680512
               41150553 41720570 42630564 42700405 42460355 42070318 

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Page last modified: April 25, 2016
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