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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0454
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0952 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE/FAR EASTERN AL INTO
WESTERN/CENTRAL/NORTHERN GA AND WESTERN CAROLINAS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 101...99...
VALID 120252Z - 120415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 101...99...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...DAMAGING WINDS/TORNADO POTENTIAL REMAINS A CONCERN FROM
THE FL PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST AL INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL/NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF GA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. TORNADO WATCH 101 CONTINUES UNTIL
08Z...BUT TORNADO WATCH 99 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.
DISCUSSION...AN EXTENSIVE RELATIVELY WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FL
PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST AL INTO WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL GA AS OF
0230Z...WITH MORE DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS CONTINUING ACROSS
NORTHEAST GA AHEAD OF A MORE DIFFUSE PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE.
THESE SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE SOME/PERIODIC
TORNADO POTENTIAL ACROSS NORTHEAST GA INTO WESTERN SC. WHILE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER HAS COOLED A FEW DEGREES F SINCE SUNSET WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR...CONTEMPORARY MODIFICATIONS TO THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING
FROM PEACHTREE CITY/ATLANTA GA SUGGESTS THAT BOUNDARY LAYER CINH IS
NOT NECESSARILY PROHIBITIVE OF LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES/POSSIBLE
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN WHAT APPEARS TO BE 0-1 KM SRH OF 300+
M2/S2 PER LATEST WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM KFFC.
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF TORNADO WATCH 101...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT
SOME ORGANIZATIONAL/LINE INTENSIFICATION MAY CONTINUE OCCUR WITH THE
ALREADY WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE...INCLUDING THE LIKELIHOOD OF
LINE-ECHO EVOLUTIONS/POSSIBLE MESOVORTICES. THIS WOULD BE AT LEAST
PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO MASS RESPONSE TO AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
SURGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH/JET STREAK OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY PER
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...WITH A GRADUAL EASTWARD ACCELERATION OF THE
COLD FRONT/CONVECTIVE LINE LIKELY THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
INTO/ACROSS GA. IN ALL...DAMAGING WINDS/ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY WITH LINE-EMBEDDED MESOVORTICES/SMALL SCALE
BOWS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN/CENTRAL GA AND
EVENTUALLY NORTHEAST GA THROUGH EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT.
..GUYER.. 04/12/2013
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...BMX...
LAT...LON 33608463 34448391 35338294 35678164 34768086 32248323
29828448 30128584 32118502 33608463
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