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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0494
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN N TX SWD INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 158...
VALID 170732Z - 170930Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 158
CONTINUES.
STRONG/LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE FROM WRN N TX INTO THE EDWARDS
PLATEAU REGION OF TX.
LATEST RADAR LOOP REVEALS SEVERAL STRONG TO LOCALLY-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE MOVING ACROSS TOM
GREEN...SCHLEICHER AND SUTTON COUNTIES. THIS BOWING CLUSTER OF
STORMS -- WITH AN EMBEDDED SUPERCELL NOW CROSSING SERN SCHLEICHER
COUNTY -- WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE GREATER SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST HERE AND ACROSS AREAS IMMEDIATELY
EAST...GIVEN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO RICH GULF MOISTURE ADVECTING NWWD
ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WHILE THE SRN EXTENT OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED BY A FAIRLY STRONG CAP...500 TO
1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE AND FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VIGOROUS/SUPERCELL STORMS EWD TOWARD THE HILL
COUNTRY REGION.
FARTHER N ACROSS ROUGHLY THE NRN HALF OF THE WATCH...THE AIRMASS
REMAINS LESS UNSTABLE...AND STORMS ARE LIKELY ELEVATED ABOVE A
SHALLOW/FAIRLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. WITH STORMS HEADING INTO A
DRIER LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS...EXPECT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL TO REMAIN MORE
LIMITED.
..GOSS.. 04/17/2009
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...
LAT...LON 29020059 29450140 30310167 30600064 31300029 31720063
33270010 33439861 32439829 29249965 29020059
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