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Mesoscale Discussion 501
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0501
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0356 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL OK

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 126...

   VALID 292056Z - 292200Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 126 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR
   TWO. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL OVER SRN CADDO/NRN COMANCHE COUNTY HAS
   STRENGTHENED WITH A BROAD VROT RECENTLY ESTIMATED AROUND 60 KT.
   AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM IS CHARACTERIZED BY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S. LATEST
   MESOANALYSIS ESTIMATES MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J PER KG. IN
   CONTRAST...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH AT TLX HAS BEEN SHRINKING OVER THE
   PAST HOUR AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW GRADUALLY WEAKENS. EVEN WITH THE
   WEAKENING WINDS...THE TORNADO THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO
   PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS ALSO REMAIN PROBABLE.

   ..MOSIER.. 04/29/2016


   ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33919849 34569888 35349836 35469776 35429562 34529510
               33789653 33919849 

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Page last modified: April 29, 2016
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