Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 502
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 502 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0502
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KS...NORTHEAST OK...AND FAR SOUTHWEST MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 292101Z - 292300Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN
   POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS AND ADJACENT
   NORTH-CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST OK...AND PERHAPS FAR SOUTHWEST MO /FROM
   VERNON TO JASPER COUNTIES/.

   DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AND LOCAL STORM REPORTS
   INDICATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAVE AFFECTED SOUTH-CENTRAL KS AND
   NORTH-CENTRAL OK.  AT 2044Z...RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THE LEADING EDGE
   OF THIS ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM CHASE TO WILSON AND MONTGOMERY
   COUNTIES KS...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS EXTENDING FROM COWLEY COUNTY KS
   TO FAR WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY OK.  E/NELY SURFACE WINDS AND A STABLE
   ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO SUGGEST
   THIS ACTIVITY IS ROOTED ABOVE THE SURFACE...AND LIKELY INGESTING
   MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG SLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS AT AND ABOVE 0.5 KM
   AGL PER TLX AND TULSA VAD WINDS.  THESE STORMS WILL BE SUPPORTED BY
   FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A NORTHEASTWARD-MOVING SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH THROUGH SOUTHEAST KS.  CURRENT THINKING SUGGESTS THIS
   ACTIVITY SHOULD OUTRUN THE BETTER INFLOW LAYER OF GREATER
   INSTABILITY AS IT REACHES SOUTHWEST MO.

   ..PETERS/THOMPSON.. 04/29/2016


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36769692 37349701 38159676 38329579 38369498 37959463
               37429460 37119465 36859540 36699653 36769692 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: April 29, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities