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Mesoscale Discussion 505
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0505
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0627 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN QUARTER OF NM INTO FAR W TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128...

   VALID 042327Z - 050130Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 128
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES
   ACROSS THE WW AREA.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS SELY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF
   THE WW AREA...WHICH CONTINUES ADVECTING 50S DEWPOINTS INTO THE
   REGION.  WITH DIURNAL HEATING PUSHING MIXED-LAYER CAPE GENERALLY
   INTO THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE...STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS
   CONTINUE TO EVOLVE...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM CHAVES/EDDY CO NM AND
   CULBERSON CO TX EWD.  

   GREATEST RISK SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF THE WW...WHERE
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINS A BIT MORE ROBUST -- AIDED BY SLIGHTLY
   STRONGER MID-LEVEL WLYS.  THE STRONGEST CELL WITHIN THIS REGION --
   NOW CROSSING CULBERSON CO -- CONTINUES TO POSE A SHORT-TERM RISK FOR
   HAIL NEAR GOLF-BALL SIZE...PER WSR-88D WDSS MESH.

   ..GOSS.. 05/04/2015


   ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

   LAT...LON   34440312 32090309 31930357 30920339 30590375 30600479
               31290585 32000629 33660635 34640508 34440312 

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