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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0524
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL MS...FAR NERN LA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 126...
VALID 182156Z - 182330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 126 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES SHOULD PERSIST INTO
MID-EVENING THROUGH THE BULK OF WW 126 AND MAY DEVELOP INTO AREAS N
OF THE WW IN NRN MS. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR AN
ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCH.
DISCUSSION...MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THE EXTENSIVE QLCS REMAINS
CONFINED TO THE FAR SRN EXTENT...CURRENTLY CROSSING THE MS RIVER
NEAR THE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE AR/LA/MS BORDER. THE LARGEST SURFACE
PRESSURE FALLS AT 21Z WERE NOTED JUST AHEAD OF THESE SEVERE
STORMS...ON THE NOSE OF THE MIDDLE/UPPER 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS. 18Z
JAN RAOB AND A 2030Z RAOB LAUNCHED BY MS STATE AROUND 30 NE GLH BOTH
INDICATED MODEST SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY. HOWEVER...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
HAS STRENGTHENED PER THE LATTER RAOB AND JAN VWP DATA. THIS WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUED THREATS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES AS
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY PERSIST WITHIN THE
LINE...PRIMARILY N OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
..GRAMS/THOMPSON.. 04/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...
LAT...LON 34159090 34529035 34598964 34548929 34168865 32928908
32008983 31809073 31989165 32309172 34159090
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