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Mesoscale Discussion 525
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0525
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0548 PM CDT SUN MAY 01 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN/MIDDLE TN...WESTERN/CENTRAL
   KY...AND FAR SOUTHERN IND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 133...

   VALID 012248Z - 020015Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 133
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT
   FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN
   POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS
   OF WATCH 133.

   DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY HAS GENERALLY TRENDED
   DOWNWARD OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AS FORCING FOR ASCENT
   /ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE IMPULSE OVER THE OH VALLEY/ DEPARTS THE
   REGION TO THE NORTHEAST. PRIOR TO NOCTURNAL COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY
   LAYER...A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND/OR AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
   REPORT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...AS AMPLE SHEAR UPWARDS OF 40-50 KTS
   PROMOTES ORGANIZATION/ROTATION IN THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS. SUCH A
   THREAT SHOULD BE FOCUSED ACROSS FAR NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
   PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. FARTHER WEST...WHILE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
   ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REMAINS POSSIBLE...A LACK OF GREATER
   FORCING FOR ASCENT ALOFT SHOULD KEEP STRONGER CONVECTION /IF ANY
   DEVELOPS/ QUITE LIMITED IN COVERAGE.

   ..PICCA.. 05/01/2016


   ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   35178960 36908837 38208766 38718629 39088466 38988310
               38738297 37068490 35678641 35028764 34978935 35178960 

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