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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0534
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN GA AND WRN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 200420Z - 200515Z
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WIND COULD DEVELOP EWD INTO THE REMAINDER OF NERN GA AND WRN SC
EARLY THIS MORNING. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
DEWPOINTS HAVE INCREASED INTO THE UPPER 50S OVER NERN GA AND WRN SC
ALONG A 50 KT SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET AXIS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
NEWD TOWARD THE SRN APPALACHIANS EARLY THIS MORNING. THOUGH
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...THIS PROCESS IS CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT
DESTABILIZATION FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP EWD WITH TIME. STORMS HAVE
INTENSIFIED NEAR THE ERN EDGE OF WW 175 OVER HALL COUNTY IN NE GA.
THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE A LIMITING
FACTOR. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH LARGE
LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR NEAR SURFACE
BASED STORMS...THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD DEVELOP AS FAR EAST AS WRN SC EARLY THIS
MORNING.
..DIAL.. 04/20/2009
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 34848311 34988221 34338172 33478246 33418320 34218334
34848311
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