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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0539
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT MON APR 20 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SE GA...ERN SC...ERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 179...
VALID 202055Z - 202230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 179
CONTINUES.
THE THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS CONTINUES ACROSS THE WW. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS FAR NRN PORTIONS OF THE
WW...ACROSS NERN NC.
STORMS CONTINUE TO REGENERATE ALONG THE COAST...EXTENDING NWD INTO
ERN NC. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT STRONG HEATING HAS MIXED
DEWPOINTS DOWN INTO THE 50S F IN MANY LOCATIONS...WITH A FEW LOWER
60S F OVER ERN NC AND ALONG THE SC/GA COAST.
RELATIVELY DRY AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NEWD ATOP THE PBL.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CU FIELDS ARE DWINDLING AWAY FROM ONGOING
STORMS. WHILE NEW CORES MAY FORM ALONG OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...SOME DECREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED WITH TIME ESPECIALLY OVER SC AND GA. FARTHER N INTO
NC...CONDITIONS ARE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS GIVEN STRONGER LOW
LEVEL SHEAR AND HIGHER PW VALUES. HAIL AND WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS...HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT OVER NERN NC...WHERE LOCALLY BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND HIGHER
DEWPOINTS ARE RESULTING IN A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
..JEWELL.. 04/20/2009
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...
LAT...LON 35357535 30868088 32178207 36587661 35357535
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