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Mesoscale Discussion 540
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0540
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0539 PM CDT TUE MAY 03 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA...SOUTHERN/EASTERN
   GA...AND SOUTHERN SC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141...

   VALID 032239Z - 040015Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL
   CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL SEVERE
   THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATER THIS EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...SEVERAL STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND LINEAR
   SEGMENTS CONTINUE ACROSS WATCH 141 EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MAIN
   THREAT WITH THESE /AS WELL AS ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT/ SHOULD CONTINUE
   TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LARGE HAIL. MERGING CLUSTERS/COLD
   POOLS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT /STRETCHING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE
   AND GA/ AND ALONG NORTHWARD-PROGRESSING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
   LOCALLY ENHANCE THE STRONG-WIND THREAT. THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS
   QUITE LOW DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL WINDS...AND THE GENERAL CONVECTIVE
   MODE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE MULTICELL IN NATURE. OVER TIME...CELLS
   SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKER BACKGROUND
   SHEAR...RESULTING IN A WEAKENING TREND LATER THIS EVENING.
   MOREOVER...BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING AND CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING SHOULD
   ACCELERATE THIS TREND.

   ..PICCA.. 05/03/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30878594 31698472 32948255 33208004 33187974 33087958
               32717963 31958044 31168105 30738149 30378345 30128495
               30508565 30878594 

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