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Mesoscale Discussion 541
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0541
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 AM CDT WED MAY 04 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL

   CONCERNING...01Z OUTLOOK UPGRADE 

   VALID 040829Z - 041030Z

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY SHIFT FARTHER INLAND
   FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF. AREA IS UPGRADED TO MARGINAL RISK THROUGH
   THE REST OF THE CURRENT OUTLOOK PERIOD ENDING AT 12Z. MAIN HAZARD
   SHOULD BE HAIL.

   DISCUSSION...A CORRIDOR OF STORMS HAVE FORMED WITHIN A MODEST WARM
   CONVEYOR DOWNSTREAM OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER THE EASTERN
   GULF AND SPREAD INTO HERNANDO/CITRUS COUNTIES. THE LEAD CELLS HAVE
   ALREADY SPLIT...INDICATIVE OF THE STRONG SPEED SHEAR AND
   STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS. SETUP SHOULD FAVOR
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY RISK. WHILE MODEST LOW-LEVEL
   SHEAR PER TAMPA BAY VWP DATA SHOULD TEMPER THE LONGEVITY/STRENGTH OF
   LOWER-LEVEL ROTATION...PRESENCE OF LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS
   COULD FOSTER A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A BRIEF
   TORNADO.

   ..GRAMS/GOSS.. 05/04/2016


   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   29018276 29438165 29538106 29028062 28448046 27918048
               27578116 27268238 27408282 28658287 29018276 

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Page last modified: May 04, 2016
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