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Mesoscale Discussion 543
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0543
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0157 PM CDT FRI MAY 06 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN NV/UT

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 061857Z - 062030Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF UT INTO
   NORTHERN NV.

   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE
   INCREASING IN INTENSITY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG HEATING AS
   SKIES HAVE BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY HAS LED TO TEMPS IN THE 60S TO NEAR
   70S WITH MUCAPE VALUES NEAR 500-1000 J/KG. VERY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES WILL AID IN SPORADIC SMALL/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL PRODUCTION
   DESPITE LACK OF STRONGER INSTABILITY. INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC
   PROFILES AND 30-45 KT WIND ABOVE THE MIXED LAYER MAY ALSO RESULT IN
   SOME STRONG GUSTS AS WELL. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE RATHER TRANSIENT
   GIVEN THE LACK OF STRONGER INSTABILITY AND SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED.
   AS SUCH...A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 05/06/2016


   ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...LKN...REV...

   LAT...LON   40471814 41111801 41591740 41791666 41801443 41621247
               41011095 40310931 39820906 39490963 39481161 39541350
               39561517 39601598 39981732 40471814 

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Page last modified: May 06, 2016
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