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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0544
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...TIDEWATER OF VA/MD...ERN NC...FAR NERN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134...
VALID 200050Z - 200145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH SEVERE THREAT HAS PEAKED...ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS MAY PERSIST INTO LATE EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NRN HALF
OF WW 134.
DISCUSSION...VERY LONG QLCS FROM NY TO SC WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
E/NEWD. NRN PORTIONS OF THIS LINE HAS ACCELERATED IN CONCERT WITH
THE MORE INTENSE LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW. WITH SLOWER EWD PROGRESSION
WITHIN THE BULK OF WW 134 AND REFLECTIVITY/ECHO TOPS/LIGHTNING
TRENDS LARGELY DIMINISHING...OVERALL DAMAGING WIND RISK HAS
DECREASED. STILL...REMNANT MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S SURFACE TEMPERATURES
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE LINE SHOULD STILL SUPPORT ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS WITH THE BULGING SEGMENTS ACROSS THE TIDEWATER TO ERN NC.
NEVERTHELESS...MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE/MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WERE
SAMPLED IN THE 00Z MHX/WAL RAOBS. THUS...THE QLCS WILL PROBABLY
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN/SLOW IN FORWARD SPEED RENDERING AN INCREASINGLY
MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.
..GRAMS.. 04/20/2013
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
LAT...LON 38287543 37777548 35877635 34447738 33717833 33807878
35577772 38157599 38287543
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