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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0557
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0940 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SW THROUGH NE IA...CENTRAL INTO NRN WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 180...
VALID 250240Z - 250345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 180
CONTINUES.
WW IS EXPECTED TO BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 04Z.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME ALONG NOSE OF 50+ KT
SSWLY LLJ EXTENDING INTO NERN KS TO SRN IA BENEATH UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE TSTM COMPLEXES MOVING EWD
DURING THE MID-LATE EVENING INTO FAR NWRN/NRN MO AND SRN IA. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE ELEVATED WITH TIME AS
SURFACE COOLING INCREASES SURFACE BASED INHIBITION. STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR HAIL WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS...BUT STRONGER EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR TENDING TO REMAIN IN THE
POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS STORMS SHOULD BECOME LESS
ORGANIZED WITH EWD EXTENT.
FARTHER NE INTO WI...DECREASING INSTABILITY/INCREASING SURFACE BASED
INHIBITION SUGGESTS THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AS INDICATED BY
LATEST REGIONAL RADAR TRENDS.
..PETERS.. 04/25/2009
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...
EAX...OAX...
LAT...LON 40389591 41529458 42909311 43469263 44169254 45219158
45699123 46278975 45718776 44988748 44108870 43269059
42449148 41629296 40769430 40389591
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