Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 560
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 560 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0560
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0633 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF KS AND FAR SOUTHERN NEB

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 150...

   VALID 082333Z - 090100Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 150 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL/TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE
   THROUGH EARLY EVENING /THROUGH 01-02Z/ ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL KS AS
   STORMS GENERALLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD. TORNADO WATCH 150 CONTINUES
   UNTIL 03Z/10 PM CDT. PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL KS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
   MONITORED FOR A SPATIAL WATCH EXTENSION OR NEW WATCH...FOR MAINLY AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL RISK.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST MESOANALYSIS FEATURES A SURFACE LOW ACROSS
   SOUTHWEST KS WITH A NORTHEASTWARD-EXTENDING WARM FRONT ACROSS
   WEST-CENTRAL KS INTO FAR SOUTHERN NEB...WITH A SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING
   DRYLINE SLOWLY ADVANCING EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
   /WEST OF THE GREAT BEND-PRATT-MEDICINE LODGE AREAS AS OF 23Z/. A
   ZONE OF CLOUDY/RAIN-COOLED AIR IS ALSO A FACTOR ALONG AND EAST OF
   I-35/I-135 AND THE KS TURNPIKE VICINITY.

   WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
   DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL KS...WITH
   LOWER/SOME MIDDLE 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS RESIDE...WHILE A MORE
   COMPLEX/LESS DISCRETE SUPERCELLULAR MODE SHOULD CONTINUE TO EVOLVE
   ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL KS IN VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT.
   COINCIDENT WITH MODEST PRESSURE FALLS...SURFACE WINDS CONTINUE TO
   BACK SOUTHEASTERLY ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF CENTRAL KS. WHILE CURVING
   LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE OBSERVED IN REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM
   WICHITA/DODGE CITY/VANCE AIR FORCE BASE...LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC WIND
   SPEEDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY OVERLY STRONG AS OF 23Z...ALTHOUGH
   NONETHELESS SUPPORTIVE OF A TORNADO RISK. THAT SAID...LOW-LEVEL
   WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN PARTICULARLY AFTER 00Z...WHICH
   COULD ACCOUNT FOR AN INCREASING TORNADO RISK /PERHAPS EVEN A STRONG
   TORNADO OR TWO/ ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL INTO
   NORTH-CENTRAL KS AND POSSIBLY SOUTH-CENTRAL KS. 

   FARTHER EAST...ISOLATED STRONG-TO-SEVERE/GENERALLY ELEVATED
   THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERSIST/SPREAD EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
   KS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. DAMAGING WIND/TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD
   REMAIN LIMITED BY THE COOL NATURE OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
   CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED ACROSS EASTERN KS.

   ..GUYER.. 05/08/2016


   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   39130070 39740115 40260002 40169799 38729716 38929492
               37919510 37109737 37109905 38409986 39130070 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 09, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities